2026 Mexico Open odds, picks: Surprising predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors

The FedEx Cup Fall continues on Thursday with the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta in Vallarta, Mexico. The purse is $6 million, and 500 FedEx Cup Fall points are on the line. This event became part of the PGA Tour in 2022, and its past winners are Jon Rahm, Tony Finau, Jake Knapp, and Brian Campbell. Visit our review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55.

The 2026 Mexico Open odds from FanDuel Sportsbook list Wyndham Clark, the No. 5 player in the world, as the favorite at +1200. Other PGA contenders this week include Tom Kim (+1800), Doug Ghim (+1800), and Ben James (+2000). Before locking in any 2026 Mexico Open picks, be sure to see the 2026 Mexico Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters in a row, as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on . Now that the 2026 Mexico Open field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2026 Mexico Open predictions One major surprise the model is calling for: It is is not high on Marco Penge even though he's among the favorites at +2200, projecting that he doesn't even finish in the top 10. He's a golfer to avoid this week. Penge doesn't have any finishes higher than T10 since March of this season and is coming off a T68 finish at the Bank of Utah Championship earlier this month, an event with a similar caliber of field. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: The model is high on Ben James at +2000, saying he's a top-two win contender and a value top-5 bet. The 23-year-old out of the University of Virginia had a strong second half of the year, highlighted by a top-25 at the U.S. Open. He also finished T15 or better at the ISCO Championship, the Corales Puntacana Championship, the Wyndham Championship, the Biltmore Championship Asheville, and the Bank of Utah Championship. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2026 Mexico Open picks The model is also targeting a massive longshot of around +3500 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2026 Mexico Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Mexico Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 Mexico Open odds, field Get full 2026 Mexico Open picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change) Wyndham Clark +1200 Tom Kim +1800 Doug Ghim +1800 Ben James +2000 Marco Penge +2200 Johnny Keefer +2200 Ben Griffin +2200 Corey Conners +2700 Max Homa +3300 Andrew Novak +3300 Harry Hall +3500 Kristoffer Ventura +3500 Blades Brown +3500 Neal Shipley +4000 Jackson Suber +4000 Jordan Smith +4000 David Ford +4000 Zach Bauchou +4000 Keita Nakajima +4500 Rico Hoey +4500 Luke Clanton +4500 Taylor Moore +5000 Kevin Roy +5000 Trace Crowe +5500 Kevin Yu +5500 Mac Meissner +6000 Pierceson Coody +6000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +6000 Beau Hossler +6500 Austin Eckroat +6500 Steven Fisk +6500 Gordon Sargent +6500 Billy Horschel +6500 Mackenzie Hughes +6500 Max Greyserman +7000 Lee Hodges +7000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000 Tony Finau +7000 Rasmus Højgaard +7000 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +7000 Isaiah Salinda +8000 Haotong Li +8000 Emiliano Grillo +8000 Denny McCarthy +8000 Aldrich Potgieter +8000 Taylor Pendrith +8000 Patrick Rodgers +8000 Chan Kim +8000 Jesper Svensson +8000 Chandler Phillips +10000 Karl Vilips +10000 Patrick Fishburn +10000 Kihei Akina +10000 William Mouw +10000 Max McGreevy +10000 Alvaro Ortiz +10000 Takumi Kanaya +10000 Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000 Zecheng Dou +10000 John Parry +10000 Zac Blair +10000 A.J. Ewart +10000 Hayden Springer +10000 Alejandro Tosti +12500 Davis Riley +12500 Erik van Rooyen +12500 Nick Dunlap +15000 John VanDerLaan +15000 Ryder Cowan +15000 Chandler Blanchet +15000 Cam Davis +15000 Chad Ramey +15000 Danny Walker +15000 Brice Garnett +17500 Dylan Wu +17500 Ben Silverman +17500 Joel Dahmen +17500 Matthieu Pavon +17500 Justin Lower +17500 Garrick Higgo +17500 Trent Phillips +17500 Kevin Streelman +17500 Andrew Putnam +22500 Mark Hubbard +22500 Pontus Nyholm +22500 David Lipsky +22500 Harry Higgs +22500 Joe Highsmith +22500 Brian Campbell +22500 Will Gordon +25000 David Skinns +25000 Adam Svensson +25000 Paul Peterson +25000 Aaron Wise +25000 Jeffrey Kang +35000 Hank Lebioda +35000 Tyler Duncan +35000 Peter Malnati +35000 Vince Whaley +50000 Omar Morales +50000 John Stanger +50000 Davis Chatfield +50000 Ben Martin +50000 Gerardo Gomez +75000 Santiago de la Fuente +75000 C.T. Pan +75000 Rafael Campos +75000 Patton Kizzire +75000 Garrett Endicott +100000 Marcelo Rozo +100000 Mauricio Figueroa Ramirez +100000 Christo Lamprecht +100000 Aaron Baddeley +100000 John Daly II +100000 Cameron Tankersley +100000 Camilo Villegas +100000 Tayler Termeer +100000 Alejandro Fierro +100000 Kensei Hirata +100000 Eli Ortego +100000